Lucky assault armor - working as intended?

Maybe the coding doesn't recognize adding the lucky from the armor in the calculation. Like the 45% chance to ignite on the Flaming Crossbow Pistol actually was coded to 35%. Math doesn't support in a group of 6 stunned walkers that 3 get stunned for 1 turn with concussion. Highly unlikely.

Probably only applies to first target, like rgg lucky applies only to first charge point. Stupid bs that shouldn't be coded this way, is misrepresented to players because it's implied to work differently, and then the math players have to figure it out and call NG on it.

pollorex said:

3.8% of the time can get just one turn and even for impossible it is it can get!

2.8%, not 3.8% and just because it is possible does not make it probable. Having 3 of 6 get stunned for 1 turn 0.0018% probability. I see that happen and doesn't point to a possibility but more likely an error somewhere.

Yes, I also feel it isn't working. I regret not recording my GW missions, but I felt I was less lucky with charging with the lucky armor than without. So two possible things

1. the lucky on the armor does not work
2. there is a cap on concussion which has not been communicated

Princess used a charge attack on the space with a dot. 4 out of 10 (although there are 2 stunned walkers I can't see in the shadows) are only stunned for 1 turn. I am normally hesitant of posting claims like this because sure technically anything is possible, but considering Concussion should be activating at a near 100% rate it's been obvious there is something wrong. Maybe the lucky on armor is only affecting traits on the armor? However, she does seem to be charging up slower than usual as well so perhaps the armor is affecting all the sources of luck.

Woof.. this is what I was most excited about in the shop.

Just to add on my post, as someone correctly argued that the percentages I posted really aren't correct as one should post probabilities. So I did the calculation, per below. It shows the probability of the events in my video both as the probability that exactly that event happened, and below that, the probability that the event - or any worse event - happened. And in two columns, the first with lucky armor working, and the second column if it's not working.

So based on that, it was in the realms of possibility to get 7 out of 8 or 13 out of 14 concussed. It should happen in 20-30% of cases, if lucky armor works, and is the expected outcome (72-89 % chance of at least one not getting concussed) if lucky armor doesn't work. The two middle events, with 3 not getting concussed in a group of 10-11 is extremely unlikely if lucky armor works (0.3 - 0.4 % chance). It's also unlikely if lucky armor doesn't work (21-25%) but possible.

Based on this I can say for sure that something is broken.

 karma for NG putting it on Assault lol

yes yes sour grapes 🤣🤣🤣

#MakeMeleeGreatAgain

So we did some more testing, and if you equip it on as assault without lucky trait and with the non-lucky decimator and Sasha in lead it the “lucky “ popup will occasionally show, so it does seem to work sometimes.

so two theories:
- concussion has a cap of 80%

I put the new armor on Princess and in my experience it does not work as intended.?  I see no difference in performance to regular armor. Thanks to all above for the math work I’m hoping NG addresses this issue. 

@Lexia any words here please?

I did a new test of the lucky armor, now with Mercer's Men-At-Arms. I have him at LT lvl 6, which means 50% chance to activate. He also has 22% lucky, a lucky Decimator (20%) and Lucky Armor (another 20%). So if lucky armor works, Men-At-Arms should activate 50% * (1 + 22% + 20% + 20%) = 81% and if it doesn't work, 50% * (1 + 22% + 20%) = 71%. Of 201 targets hit, it activated 143 times, so 71,1%.

I would say it's pretty clear it's not working as intended and my theory is that there is a conflict with the lucky weapon, i.e. only one of them works.

Maybe you're just not that lucky 🤷‍♂️

What to do for those who have updated, I cannot enter the game and pick up the autumn campaign tokens from the store, what should I do?  🤦‍♀️
@Lexia help 🙏

The release did not go quite as planned 😅 but luckily the fix did not require us to push out another update. Your game should load in normally now. We're sorry for the inconvenience, and if you're still experiencing the same issues, please let us know or contact our support!